Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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Nobody can predict the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to give it its finest shot. With up to date news and a little but lively 14 Billion criterion model, archmageriseswiki.com our AI is boldly anticipating the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to answer mankind's most difficult questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us and, just as 2 years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pushing questions that are less simple to determine. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining questions from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language design to be better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some interesting enhancements - term paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, computing eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is really on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION parameters and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months earlier so we have developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown territory to make its best prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We presented the following questions to our AI and determined its reaction. While we have actually seen prediction improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own peril.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% chance
Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, however a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposition ...
First, I'll look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor since 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been encouraging of his profession, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her dedication.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, particularly given comments Travis made about Donald Trump going to the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not addressing the speculation straight.
I believe the key points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential occasion, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, possibly around 5%, considering all factors.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its just a different front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (controversy aside) Josh Allen's comparable attempts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this video game.
Alright, I'm trying to determine the possibility that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it looks like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts utilizes his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The short article that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is pretty high. ... I also need to consider the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs know the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might adjust their defense appropriately, which might either increase or reduce the variety of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 seems like a substantial number but possible offered their self-confidence, I would estimate a likelihood around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, self-confidence in the method, and the probability that they'll utilize it several times, particularly if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility
While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, but in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a battle.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement throughout a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That appears significant due to the fact that it reveals he's done it previously, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more recent short articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving far from political declarations and focusing more on individual expression. That could indicate he's less likely to attend to Trump this time.
However, he's likewise associated with a fight with Drake, which might provide him reasons to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation match from Drake, so possibly he bewares about including any questionable tunes in the performance. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar may feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements throughout the halftime show, so there's a risk that such content may be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant carry on big stages. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime show, which might give him more imaginative liberty. Plus, his past behavior suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.
But I likewise keep in mind reading that Lamar expressed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, particularly if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the event's context-the possibility seems to be moderately high, perhaps around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% chance
Lets be truthful, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't indicate to trigger offense which he actually discovered it funny himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might suggest he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There's a post particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who enjoys consuming, specifically with his team. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the situation is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never fails?" You can't deceive the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 very bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be fooled and thinks anything can occur when that coin enters the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, but there's some historic data that may affect this prediction.
First, I check out the posts supplied. They all point out the historical stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has come up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a slight edge, but it's not a substantial distinction.
However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is generally considered random. The small historic edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, in some cases people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I should think about whether this historic bias ought to influence the likelihood.
After believing about it, I decide that while the historic data reveals a minor preference for tails, it's not statistically substantial sufficient to move the possibility far from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the possibility, acknowledging that the slight historic edge exists however doesn't bypass the truth that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I guarantee we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the very same. BUT, its official now because our AI says the chances are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still kind of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to find out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of short articles that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable hire current video games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "absurd." They say there's no proof of organized predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it might indicate there's no real basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some truth to it.
Taking a look at the posts, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that analytical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have been punished more because 2022. That's fascinating due to the fact that if they were getting special treatment, you might expect less penalties, right?
...
So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero due to the fact that you can't dismiss every possibility, but very unlikely.
Summary
There you have it everyone, is it even worth enjoying the video game still? I think I'll have to wait and see how the game ends up before we release this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a good video game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was wrong about whatever, at least it can gain from this.
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Our Brand new Deepseek based AI Says
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